How many ZR-1's are left?

[vilant]

Even if it is well over 5000 left, that still less than 6K and a little over 1K gone. That's pretty significant, especially if there's a higher ratio of lower produced,later year models gone (they were 405 hp right).

[scottfab]

Originally Posted by mike100

.............
I would guess 4000-4500 cars remain based on Lee's estimated loss ratio.
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Could very well be. I know some are just broken and will sit until found decades from now as "garage finds".

[LGAFF]

I did this quickly so feel free to check my math......

Average auto frequency is 12.5 Ex Glass claims; 12.5 claims per 100 vehicles
Consider specialty cars are driven less the frequency then drops to 4.125, maybe lower.....
of the 4.125 ZR-1s per 100 15.5% of those 4.125 per 100 would be totalled
this is .64 per 100 ZR-1s per year
Given 22 years and not considering you would need a graduated scale based upon production per year, which I did not do.....
6922 /100=69.22 69.22 x.64=44.30 44.30 x22 = 974 total losses

[mike100]

So then 900-ish for predicted losses, but not including 20 years worth of attrition due to high mileage, racing, and a few examples here and there of a car parted out since they are just getting to be worth more dead (for parts) than alive.

[vilant]

Originally Posted by LGAFF

I did this quickly so feel free to check my math......

Average auto frequency is 12.5 Ex Glass claims; 12.5 claims per 100 vehicles
Consider specialty cars are driven less the frequency then drops to 4.125, maybe lower.....
of the 4.125 ZR-1s per 100 15.5% of those 4.125 per 100 would be totalled
this is .64 per 100 ZR-1s per year
Given 22 years and not considering you would need a graduated scale based upon production per year, which I did not do.....
6922 /100=69.22 69.22 x.64=44.30 44.30 x22 = 974 total losses

That's a whole lotta math, lol. Thanks. Think it's safe to say there's less than 6K ZR-1's left. Which just makes are cars little rarer and worth more in the long run.

[LGAFF]

I would say that # is on the high side if anything.....