How many ZR-1's are left? - Page 2 - ZR-1 Net Registry Forums

vilant · 07-29-2012

Even if it is well over 5000 left, that still less than 6K and a little over 1K gone. That's pretty significant, especially if there's a higher ratio of lower produced,later year models gone (they were 405 hp right).

scottfab · 07-29-2012

Quote:

Originally Posted by mike100

.............
I would guess 4000-4500 cars remain based on Lee's estimated loss ratio.
................

Could very well be. I know some are just broken and will sit until found decades from now as "garage finds".

LGAFF · 07-31-2012

I did this quickly so feel free to check my math......

Average auto frequency is 12.5 Ex Glass claims; 12.5 claims per 100 vehicles
Consider specialty cars are driven less the frequency then drops to 4.125, maybe lower.....
of the 4.125 ZR-1s per 100 15.5% of those 4.125 per 100 would be totalled
this is .64 per 100 ZR-1s per year
Given 22 years and not considering you would need a graduated scale based upon production per year, which I did not do.....
6922 /100=69.22 69.22 x.64=44.30 44.30 x22 = 974 total losses

mike100 · 07-31-2012

So then 900-ish for predicted losses, but not including 20 years worth of attrition due to high mileage, racing, and a few examples here and there of a car parted out since they are just getting to be worth more dead (for parts) than alive.

vilant · 07-31-2012

Quote:

Originally Posted by LGAFF

I did this quickly so feel free to check my math......

Average auto frequency is 12.5 Ex Glass claims; 12.5 claims per 100 vehicles
Consider specialty cars are driven less the frequency then drops to 4.125, maybe lower.....
of the 4.125 ZR-1s per 100 15.5% of those 4.125 per 100 would be totalled
this is .64 per 100 ZR-1s per year
Given 22 years and not considering you would need a graduated scale based upon production per year, which I did not do.....
6922 /100=69.22 69.22 x.64=44.30 44.30 x22 = 974 total losses

That's a whole lotta math, lol. Thanks. Think it's safe to say there's less than 6K ZR-1's left. Which just makes are cars little rarer and worth more in the long run.

LGAFF · 07-31-2012

I would say that # is on the high side if anything.....

07-29-2012	#11
vilant Join Date: Jun 2012 Location: PA Posts: 772	Re: How many ZR-1's are left? Even if it is well over 5000 left, that still less than 6K and a little over 1K gone. That's pretty significant, especially if there's a higher ratio of lower produced,later year models gone (they were 405 hp right). __________________ Joe 1990 Bright Red ZR-1 #2599

07-31-2012	#13
LGAFF Join Date: Mar 2007 Location: Crystal Lake, IL Posts: 7,194	Re: How many ZR-1's are left? I did this quickly so feel free to check my math...... Average auto frequency is 12.5 Ex Glass claims; 12.5 claims per 100 vehicles Consider specialty cars are driven less the frequency then drops to 4.125, maybe lower..... of the 4.125 ZR-1s per 100 15.5% of those 4.125 per 100 would be totalled this is .64 per 100 ZR-1s per year Given 22 years and not considering you would need a graduated scale based upon production per year, which I did not do..... 6922 /100=69.22 69.22 x.64=44.30 44.30 x22 = 974 total losses __________________ LGAFF 90 #966-150K miles-sold 92 #234-sold 1987 Callaway TT #17 1991 ZR-1 #1359

07-31-2012	#14
mike100 Join Date: Feb 2011 Location: San Marcos CA Posts: 1,802	Re: How many ZR-1's are left? So then 900-ish for predicted losses, but not including 20 years worth of attrition due to high mileage, racing, and a few examples here and there of a car parted out since they are just getting to be worth more dead (for parts) than alive.

07-31-2012	#16
LGAFF Join Date: Mar 2007 Location: Crystal Lake, IL Posts: 7,194	Re: How many ZR-1's are left? I would say that # is on the high side if anything..... __________________ LGAFF 90 #966-150K miles-sold 92 #234-sold 1987 Callaway TT #17 1991 ZR-1 #1359